Trump Surges with Black, Hispanics: Polls

Posted on Sep 2, 2020

President Trump’s re-election campaign, which many political pundits thought was dead in the water a few weeks ago, is now surging in the latest public opinion polls and surveys.

New polling on Monday shows President Donald Trump receiving a post-convention bounce in support. A poll, conducted by Emerson College, surveyed 1,576 voters between August 30 and August 31 to ascertain the impact that both the Republican and Democratic National Conventions may have had on the public.

Emerson’s results indicate that Trump has tightened the race, now only trailing former Vice President by two percentage points 49 percent to 47 percent. This is remarkable as Biden led national polls by as many as 15 points in mid-July.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey said that Trump voter enthusiasm surged to 85% after the convention last week, up from 75%. But for Biden, it has remained stuck at 71%.

According to the Virginia Star:

More troubling for national Democrats is Trump’s astonishing inroads into minority communities, long taken for granted as reliable Democratic voters regardless of the failure of Democrats to improve their lives.

The [Emerson] poll found that Biden garnered 77 percent support among Blacks, compared to 19 percent for Trump.

Let that sink in: Trump is currently polling to earn 19 percent of the Black vote.

Is it an outlier?

A similar poll taken by Zogby Analytics found Trump getting 14 percent of the Black vote.

If Trump gets 14-19 percent of the Black vote, he gets re-elected in a rout.

Trump earned eight percent of the African American vote in 2016. He’s doubling that today in both polls if you take the average.

Concerning Hispanics, Trump is currently polling at 37 percent, according to internal Trump campaign polls made available to this writer.

This is exceeding the GOP watermark of 35 percent of Hispanics who voted for George W. Bush in 2000.